Uzbekistan vs Colombia Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Colombia are predicted to beat Uzbekistan in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 67% model win probability and a projected 0–1 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Uzbekistan vs Colombia forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Uzbekistan #65, Colombia #12) with an adjustment for home advantage. Colombia was modelled as the more likely winner (67%), with a projected scoreline of 0–1. Draw probability is 19%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Colombia are predicted to win, with a 67% model win probability against Uzbekistan, and a 19% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Uzbekistan #65, Colombia #12) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Our model projects a 0–1 scoreline in Colombia's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Uzbekistan 14% win, draw 19%, Colombia 67% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Uzbekistan vs Colombia prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Uzbekistan #65, Colombia #12) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Uzbekistan vs Colombia being played?
Uzbekistan face Colombia on Thursday, 18 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.