United States vs Paraguay Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
United States are predicted to beat Paraguay in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 84% model win probability and a projected 2–1 scoreline.
Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data
How this prediction is calculated
This United States vs Paraguay forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (United States #11, Paraguay #54) with an adjustment for home advantage. United States was modelled as the more likely winner (84%), with a projected scoreline of 2–1. Draw probability is 12%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
United States vs Paraguay — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win United States vs Paraguay?
United States are predicted to win, with a 84% model win probability against Paraguay, and a 12% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (United States #11, Paraguay #54) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for United States vs Paraguay?
Our model projects a 2–1 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for United States vs Paraguay?
United States 84% win, draw 12%, Paraguay 4% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the United States vs Paraguay prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (United States #11, Paraguay #54) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is United States vs Paraguay being played?
United States face Paraguay on Saturday, 13 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.