Uruguay vs Cape Verde Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Uruguay are predicted to beat Cape Verde in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 69% model win probability and a projected 1–0 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Uruguay vs Cape Verde forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Uruguay #18, Cape Verde #68) with an adjustment for home advantage. Uruguay was modelled as the more likely winner (69%), with a projected scoreline of 1–0. Draw probability is 19%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Uruguay vs Cape Verde — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Uruguay vs Cape Verde?
Uruguay are predicted to win, with a 69% model win probability against Cape Verde, and a 19% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Uruguay #18, Cape Verde #68) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?
Our model projects a 1–0 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?
Uruguay 69% win, draw 19%, Cape Verde 13% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Uruguay vs Cape Verde prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Uruguay #18, Cape Verde #68) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Uruguay vs Cape Verde being played?
Uruguay face Cape Verde on Sunday, 21 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.