Turkey vs United States Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
United States are predicted to beat Turkey in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 63% model win probability and a projected 1–2 scoreline.
Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data
How this prediction is calculated
This Turkey vs United States forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Turkey #30, United States #11) with an adjustment for home advantage. United States is modelled as the more likely winner (63%), with a projected scoreline of 1–2. Draw probability is 19%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Turkey vs United States — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Turkey vs United States?
United States are predicted to win, with a 63% model win probability against Turkey, and a 19% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Turkey #30, United States #11) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Turkey vs United States?
Our model projects a 1–2 scoreline in United States's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Turkey vs United States?
Turkey 19% win, draw 19%, United States 63% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Turkey vs United States prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Turkey #30, United States #11) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Turkey vs United States being played?
Turkey face United States on Friday, 26 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.