Turkey vs Paraguay Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Turkey are predicted to beat Paraguay in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 60% model win probability and a projected 1–0 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Turkey vs Paraguay forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Turkey #30, Paraguay #54) with an adjustment for home advantage. Turkey was modelled as the more likely winner (60%), with a projected scoreline of 1–0. Draw probability is 21%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Turkey vs Paraguay — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Turkey vs Paraguay?
Turkey are predicted to win, with a 60% model win probability against Paraguay, and a 21% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Turkey #30, Paraguay #54) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Turkey vs Paraguay?
Our model projects a 1–0 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Turkey vs Paraguay?
Turkey 60% win, draw 21%, Paraguay 19% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Turkey vs Paraguay prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Turkey #30, Paraguay #54) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Turkey vs Paraguay being played?
Turkey face Paraguay on Saturday, 20 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.