Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Sweden are predicted to beat Tunisia in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 56% model win probability and a projected 2–1 scoreline.
Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data
How this prediction is calculated
This Sweden vs Tunisia forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Sweden #26, Tunisia #34) with an adjustment for home advantage. Sweden is modelled as the more likely winner (56%), with a projected scoreline of 2–1. Draw probability is 21%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Sweden vs Tunisia — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Sweden vs Tunisia?
Sweden are predicted to win, with a 56% model win probability against Tunisia, and a 21% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Sweden #26, Tunisia #34) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Tunisia?
Our model projects a 2–1 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Sweden vs Tunisia?
Sweden 56% win, draw 21%, Tunisia 23% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Sweden vs Tunisia prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Sweden #26, Tunisia #34) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Sweden vs Tunisia being played?
Sweden face Tunisia on Monday, 15 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.