Scotland vs Morocco Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Morocco are predicted to beat Scotland in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 59% model win probability and a projected 0–1 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Scotland vs Morocco forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Scotland #39, Morocco #13) with an adjustment for home advantage. Morocco was modelled as the more likely winner (59%), with a projected scoreline of 0–1. Draw probability is 22%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Scotland vs Morocco — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Scotland vs Morocco?
Morocco are predicted to win, with a 59% model win probability against Scotland, and a 22% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Scotland #39, Morocco #13) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Morocco?
Our model projects a 0–1 scoreline in Morocco's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Scotland vs Morocco?
Scotland 19% win, draw 22%, Morocco 59% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Scotland vs Morocco prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Scotland #39, Morocco #13) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Scotland vs Morocco being played?
Scotland face Morocco on Friday, 19 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.