SportCells

Scotland vs Brazil Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis

Prediction summary

Brazil are predicted to beat Scotland in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 84% model win probability and a projected 1–2 scoreline.

Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice

Match Prediction

Scotland
12
Brazil
4%
Scotland
12%
Draw
84%
Brazil

Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data

How this prediction is calculated

This Scotland vs Brazil forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Scotland #39, Brazil #5) with an adjustment for home advantage. Brazil is modelled as the more likely winner (84%), with a projected scoreline of 1–2. Draw probability is 12%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.

Scotland vs Brazil — Prediction FAQ

Who is predicted to win Scotland vs Brazil?

Brazil are predicted to win, with a 84% model win probability against Scotland, and a 12% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Scotland #39, Brazil #5) with a home-advantage adjustment.

What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Brazil?

Our model projects a 1–2 scoreline in Brazil's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.

What are the win probabilities for Scotland vs Brazil?

Scotland 4% win, draw 12%, Brazil 84% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.

How is the Scotland vs Brazil prediction calculated?

It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Scotland #39, Brazil #5) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.

When and where is Scotland vs Brazil being played?

Scotland face Brazil on Wednesday, 24 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.