Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Uruguay are predicted to beat Saudi Arabia in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 60% model win probability and a projected 0–1 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Saudi Arabia #56, Uruguay #18) with an adjustment for home advantage. Uruguay was modelled as the more likely winner (60%), with a projected scoreline of 0–1. Draw probability is 21%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
Uruguay are predicted to win, with a 60% model win probability against Saudi Arabia, and a 21% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Saudi Arabia #56, Uruguay #18) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
Our model projects a 0–1 scoreline in Uruguay's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
Saudi Arabia 19% win, draw 21%, Uruguay 60% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Saudi Arabia #56, Uruguay #18) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay being played?
Saudi Arabia face Uruguay on Monday, 15 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.