SportCells

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis

Prediction summary

Uruguay are predicted to beat Saudi Arabia in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 67% model win probability and a projected 1–2 scoreline.

Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice

Match Prediction

Saudi Arabia
12
Uruguay
16%
Saudi Arabia
17%
Draw
67%
Uruguay

Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data

How this prediction is calculated

This Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Saudi Arabia #56, Uruguay #18) with an adjustment for home advantage. Uruguay is modelled as the more likely winner (67%), with a projected scoreline of 1–2. Draw probability is 17%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay — Prediction FAQ

Who is predicted to win Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?

Uruguay are predicted to win, with a 67% model win probability against Saudi Arabia, and a 17% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Saudi Arabia #56, Uruguay #18) with a home-advantage adjustment.

What is the predicted score for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?

Our model projects a 1–2 scoreline in Uruguay's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.

What are the win probabilities for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?

Saudi Arabia 16% win, draw 17%, Uruguay 67% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.

How is the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay prediction calculated?

It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Saudi Arabia #56, Uruguay #18) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.

When and where is Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay being played?

Saudi Arabia face Uruguay on Monday, 15 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.