Portugal vs Uzbekistan Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Portugal are predicted to beat Uzbekistan in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 72% model win probability and a projected 2–0 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Portugal vs Uzbekistan forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Portugal #6, Uzbekistan #65) with an adjustment for home advantage. Portugal was modelled as the more likely winner (72%), with a projected scoreline of 2–0. Draw probability is 18%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Portugal vs Uzbekistan — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Portugal are predicted to win, with a 72% model win probability against Uzbekistan, and a 18% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Portugal #6, Uzbekistan #65) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Our model projects a 2–0 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Portugal 72% win, draw 18%, Uzbekistan 10% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Portugal vs Uzbekistan prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Portugal #6, Uzbekistan #65) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Portugal vs Uzbekistan being played?
Portugal face Uzbekistan on Tuesday, 23 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.