Panama vs Croatia Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Croatia are predicted to beat Panama in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 66% model win probability and a projected 0–1 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Panama vs Croatia forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Panama #49, Croatia #10) with an adjustment for home advantage. Croatia was modelled as the more likely winner (66%), with a projected scoreline of 0–1. Draw probability is 20%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Panama vs Croatia — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Panama vs Croatia?
Croatia are predicted to win, with a 66% model win probability against Panama, and a 20% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Panama #49, Croatia #10) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Panama vs Croatia?
Our model projects a 0–1 scoreline in Croatia's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Panama vs Croatia?
Panama 14% win, draw 20%, Croatia 66% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Panama vs Croatia prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Panama #49, Croatia #10) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Panama vs Croatia being played?
Panama face Croatia on Tuesday, 23 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.