New Zealand vs Belgium Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Belgium are predicted to beat New Zealand in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 73% model win probability and a projected 0–2 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This New Zealand vs Belgium forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (New Zealand #96, Belgium #3) with an adjustment for home advantage. Belgium was modelled as the more likely winner (73%), with a projected scoreline of 0–2. Draw probability is 17%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
New Zealand vs Belgium — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs Belgium?
Belgium are predicted to win, with a 73% model win probability against New Zealand, and a 17% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (New Zealand #96, Belgium #3) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Belgium?
Our model projects a 0–2 scoreline in Belgium's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for New Zealand vs Belgium?
New Zealand 10% win, draw 17%, Belgium 73% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the New Zealand vs Belgium prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (New Zealand #96, Belgium #3) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is New Zealand vs Belgium being played?
New Zealand face Belgium on Saturday, 27 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.