SportCells

Morocco vs Haiti Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis

Prediction summary

Morocco are predicted to beat Haiti in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 86% model win probability and a projected 2–1 scoreline.

Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice

Match Prediction

Morocco
21
Haiti
86%
Morocco
12%
Draw
2%
Haiti

Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data

How this prediction is calculated

This Morocco vs Haiti forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Morocco #13, Haiti #95) with an adjustment for home advantage. Morocco is modelled as the more likely winner (86%), with a projected scoreline of 2–1. Draw probability is 12%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.

Morocco vs Haiti — Prediction FAQ

Who is predicted to win Morocco vs Haiti?

Morocco are predicted to win, with a 86% model win probability against Haiti, and a 12% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Morocco #13, Haiti #95) with a home-advantage adjustment.

What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Haiti?

Our model projects a 2–1 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.

What are the win probabilities for Morocco vs Haiti?

Morocco 86% win, draw 12%, Haiti 2% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.

How is the Morocco vs Haiti prediction calculated?

It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Morocco #13, Haiti #95) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.

When and where is Morocco vs Haiti being played?

Morocco face Haiti on Wednesday, 24 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.