Morocco vs Haiti Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Morocco are predicted to beat Haiti in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 71% model win probability and a projected 1–0 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Morocco vs Haiti forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Morocco #13, Haiti #95) with an adjustment for home advantage. Morocco was modelled as the more likely winner (71%), with a projected scoreline of 1–0. Draw probability is 18%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Morocco vs Haiti — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Morocco vs Haiti?
Morocco are predicted to win, with a 71% model win probability against Haiti, and a 18% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Morocco #13, Haiti #95) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Haiti?
Our model projects a 1–0 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Morocco vs Haiti?
Morocco 71% win, draw 18%, Haiti 11% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Morocco vs Haiti prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Morocco #13, Haiti #95) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Morocco vs Haiti being played?
Morocco face Haiti on Wednesday, 24 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.