Jordan vs Algeria Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis

Prediction summary

Algeria are predicted to beat Jordan in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 43% model win probability and a projected 1–1 scoreline.

Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice

Match Prediction

Jordan
11
Algeria
33%
Jordan
24%
Draw
43%
Algeria

Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available

How this prediction is calculated

This Jordan vs Algeria forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Jordan #75, Algeria #48) with an adjustment for home advantage. Algeria was modelled as the more likely winner (43%), with a projected scoreline of 1–1. Draw probability is 24%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.

Jordan vs Algeria — Prediction FAQ

Who is predicted to win Jordan vs Algeria?

Algeria are predicted to win, with a 43% model win probability against Jordan, and a 24% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Jordan #75, Algeria #48) with a home-advantage adjustment.

What is the predicted score for Jordan vs Algeria?

Our model projects a 1–1 scoreline in Algeria's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.

What are the win probabilities for Jordan vs Algeria?

Jordan 33% win, draw 24%, Algeria 43% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.

How is the Jordan vs Algeria prediction calculated?

It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Jordan #75, Algeria #48) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.

When and where is Jordan vs Algeria being played?

Jordan face Algeria on Tuesday, 23 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.