Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Ivory Coast are predicted to beat Ecuador in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 49% model win probability and a projected 2–1 scoreline.
Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data
How this prediction is calculated
This Ivory Coast vs Ecuador forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Ivory Coast #41, Ecuador #44) with an adjustment for home advantage. Ivory Coast is modelled as the more likely winner (49%), with a projected scoreline of 2–1. Draw probability is 24%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Ivory Coast are predicted to win, with a 49% model win probability against Ecuador, and a 24% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Ivory Coast #41, Ecuador #44) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Our model projects a 2–1 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Ivory Coast 49% win, draw 24%, Ecuador 27% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Ivory Coast vs Ecuador prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Ivory Coast #41, Ecuador #44) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Ivory Coast vs Ecuador being played?
Ivory Coast face Ecuador on Sunday, 14 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.