Iraq vs Norway Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Norway are predicted to beat Iraq in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 56% model win probability and a projected 1–2 scoreline.
Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data
How this prediction is calculated
This Iraq vs Norway forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Iraq #63, Norway #28) with an adjustment for home advantage. Norway is modelled as the more likely winner (56%), with a projected scoreline of 1–2. Draw probability is 21%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Iraq vs Norway — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Iraq vs Norway?
Norway are predicted to win, with a 56% model win probability against Iraq, and a 21% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Iraq #63, Norway #28) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Iraq vs Norway?
Our model projects a 1–2 scoreline in Norway's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Iraq vs Norway?
Iraq 23% win, draw 21%, Norway 56% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Iraq vs Norway prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Iraq #63, Norway #28) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Iraq vs Norway being played?
Iraq face Norway on Tuesday, 16 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.