Ghana vs Panama Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis

Prediction summary

Ghana are predicted to beat Panama in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 40% model win probability and a projected 1–1 scoreline.

Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice

Match Prediction

Ghana
11
Panama
40%
Ghana
24%
Draw
36%
Panama

Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available

How this prediction is calculated

This Ghana vs Panama forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Ghana #60, Panama #49) with an adjustment for home advantage. Ghana was modelled as the more likely winner (40%), with a projected scoreline of 1–1. Draw probability is 24%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.

Ghana vs Panama — Prediction FAQ

Who is predicted to win Ghana vs Panama?

Ghana are predicted to win, with a 40% model win probability against Panama, and a 24% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Ghana #60, Panama #49) with a home-advantage adjustment.

What is the predicted score for Ghana vs Panama?

Our model projects a 1–1 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.

What are the win probabilities for Ghana vs Panama?

Ghana 40% win, draw 24%, Panama 36% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.

How is the Ghana vs Panama prediction calculated?

It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Ghana #60, Panama #49) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.

When and where is Ghana vs Panama being played?

Ghana face Panama on Wednesday, 17 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.