Germany vs Ivory Coast Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Germany are predicted to beat Ivory Coast in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 67% model win probability and a projected 1–0 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Germany vs Ivory Coast forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Germany #14, Ivory Coast #41) with an adjustment for home advantage. Germany was modelled as the more likely winner (67%), with a projected scoreline of 1–0. Draw probability is 20%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Germany vs Ivory Coast — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Germany are predicted to win, with a 67% model win probability against Ivory Coast, and a 20% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Germany #14, Ivory Coast #41) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Our model projects a 1–0 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Germany 67% win, draw 20%, Ivory Coast 14% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Germany vs Ivory Coast prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Germany #14, Ivory Coast #41) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Germany vs Ivory Coast being played?
Germany face Ivory Coast on Saturday, 20 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.