France vs Senegal Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
France are predicted to beat Senegal in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 87% model win probability and a projected 2–1 scoreline.
Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data
How this prediction is calculated
This France vs Senegal forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (France #2, Senegal #19) with an adjustment for home advantage. France is modelled as the more likely winner (87%), with a projected scoreline of 2–1. Draw probability is 12%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
France vs Senegal — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win France vs Senegal?
France are predicted to win, with a 87% model win probability against Senegal, and a 12% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (France #2, Senegal #19) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for France vs Senegal?
Our model projects a 2–1 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for France vs Senegal?
France 87% win, draw 12%, Senegal 1% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the France vs Senegal prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (France #2, Senegal #19) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is France vs Senegal being played?
France face Senegal on Tuesday, 16 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.