England vs Croatia Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
England are predicted to beat Croatia in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 76% model win probability and a projected 2–1 scoreline.
Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data
How this prediction is calculated
This England vs Croatia forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (England #4, Croatia #10) with an adjustment for home advantage. England is modelled as the more likely winner (76%), with a projected scoreline of 2–1. Draw probability is 14%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
England vs Croatia — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win England vs Croatia?
England are predicted to win, with a 76% model win probability against Croatia, and a 14% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (England #4, Croatia #10) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for England vs Croatia?
Our model projects a 2–1 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for England vs Croatia?
England 76% win, draw 14%, Croatia 10% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the England vs Croatia prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (England #4, Croatia #10) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is England vs Croatia being played?
England face Croatia on Wednesday, 17 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.