Egypt vs Iran Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Iran are predicted to beat Egypt in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 42% model win probability and a projected 1–1 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Egypt vs Iran forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Egypt #38, Iran #25) with an adjustment for home advantage. Iran was modelled as the more likely winner (42%), with a projected scoreline of 1–1. Draw probability is 24%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Egypt vs Iran — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Egypt vs Iran?
Iran are predicted to win, with a 42% model win probability against Egypt, and a 24% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Egypt #38, Iran #25) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Egypt vs Iran?
Our model projects a 1–1 scoreline in Iran's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Egypt vs Iran?
Egypt 34% win, draw 24%, Iran 42% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Egypt vs Iran prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Egypt #38, Iran #25) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Egypt vs Iran being played?
Egypt face Iran on Saturday, 27 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.