Egypt vs Iran Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Iran are predicted to beat Egypt in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 40% model win probability and a projected 1–1 scoreline.
Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data
How this prediction is calculated
This Egypt vs Iran forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Egypt #38, Iran #25) with an adjustment for home advantage. Iran is modelled as the more likely winner (40%), with a projected scoreline of 1–1. Draw probability is 28%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Egypt vs Iran — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Egypt vs Iran?
Iran are predicted to win, with a 40% model win probability against Egypt, and a 28% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Egypt #38, Iran #25) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Egypt vs Iran?
Our model projects a 1–1 scoreline in Iran's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Egypt vs Iran?
Egypt 32% win, draw 28%, Iran 40% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Egypt vs Iran prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Egypt #38, Iran #25) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Egypt vs Iran being played?
Egypt face Iran on Saturday, 27 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.