Croatia vs Ghana Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Croatia are predicted to beat Ghana in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 71% model win probability and a projected 1–0 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Croatia vs Ghana forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Croatia #10, Ghana #60) with an adjustment for home advantage. Croatia was modelled as the more likely winner (71%), with a projected scoreline of 1–0. Draw probability is 18%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Croatia vs Ghana — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Croatia vs Ghana?
Croatia are predicted to win, with a 71% model win probability against Ghana, and a 18% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Croatia #10, Ghana #60) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Ghana?
Our model projects a 1–0 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Croatia vs Ghana?
Croatia 71% win, draw 18%, Ghana 11% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Croatia vs Ghana prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Croatia #10, Ghana #60) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Croatia vs Ghana being played?
Croatia face Ghana on Saturday, 27 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.