SportCells

Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis

Prediction summary

Canada are predicted to beat Bosnia-Herzegovina in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 52% model win probability and a projected 2–1 scoreline.

Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice

Match Prediction

Canada
21
Bosnia-Herzegovina
52%
Canada
23%
Draw
25%
Bosnia-Herzegovina

Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data

How this prediction is calculated

This Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Canada #47, Bosnia-Herzegovina #55) with an adjustment for home advantage. Canada was modelled as the more likely winner (52%), with a projected scoreline of 2–1. Draw probability is 23%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.

Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina — Prediction FAQ

Who is predicted to win Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Canada are predicted to win, with a 52% model win probability against Bosnia-Herzegovina, and a 23% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Canada #47, Bosnia-Herzegovina #55) with a home-advantage adjustment.

What is the predicted score for Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Our model projects a 2–1 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.

What are the win probabilities for Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Canada 52% win, draw 23%, Bosnia-Herzegovina 25% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.

How is the Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina prediction calculated?

It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Canada #47, Bosnia-Herzegovina #55) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.

When and where is Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina being played?

Canada face Bosnia-Herzegovina on Friday, 12 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.