SportCells

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis

Prediction summary

Bosnia-Herzegovina are predicted to beat Qatar in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 56% model win probability and a projected 2–1 scoreline.

Last updated 7 Jul 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice

Match Prediction

Bosnia-Herzegovina
21
Qatar
56%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
21%
Draw
23%
Qatar

Based on FIFA rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data

How this prediction is calculated

This Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Bosnia-Herzegovina #55, Qatar #72) with an adjustment for home advantage. Bosnia-Herzegovina is modelled as the more likely winner (56%), with a projected scoreline of 2–1. Draw probability is 21%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar — Prediction FAQ

Who is predicted to win Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar?

Bosnia-Herzegovina are predicted to win, with a 56% model win probability against Qatar, and a 21% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Bosnia-Herzegovina #55, Qatar #72) with a home-advantage adjustment.

What is the predicted score for Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar?

Our model projects a 2–1 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.

What are the win probabilities for Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar?

Bosnia-Herzegovina 56% win, draw 21%, Qatar 23% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.

How is the Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar prediction calculated?

It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Bosnia-Herzegovina #55, Qatar #72) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.

When and where is Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar being played?

Bosnia-Herzegovina face Qatar on Wednesday, 24 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.