Belgium vs Iran Prediction
World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis
Prediction summary
Belgium are predicted to beat Iran in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 72% model win probability and a projected 1–0 scoreline.
Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice
Match Prediction
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
How this prediction is calculated
This Belgium vs Iran forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Belgium #3, Iran #25) with an adjustment for home advantage. Belgium was modelled as the more likely winner (72%), with a projected scoreline of 1–0. Draw probability is 18%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.
Belgium vs Iran — Prediction FAQ
Who is predicted to win Belgium vs Iran?
Belgium are predicted to win, with a 72% model win probability against Iran, and a 18% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Belgium #3, Iran #25) with a home-advantage adjustment.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Iran?
Our model projects a 1–0 scoreline, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.
What are the win probabilities for Belgium vs Iran?
Belgium 72% win, draw 18%, Iran 11% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.
How is the Belgium vs Iran prediction calculated?
It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Belgium #3, Iran #25) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.
When and where is Belgium vs Iran being played?
Belgium face Iran on Sunday, 21 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.