Algeria vs Austria Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Statistical analysis

Prediction summary

Austria are predicted to beat Algeria in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage, with a 51% model win probability and a projected 0–1 scoreline.

Last updated 13 Sept 2026 · Model by SportCells · Not betting advice

Match Prediction

Algeria
01
Austria
26%
Algeria
23%
Draw
51%
Austria

Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available

How this prediction is calculated

This Algeria vs Austria forecast is a transparent statistical estimate based on each side's FIFA World Ranking (Algeria #48, Austria #23) with an adjustment for home advantage. Austria was modelled as the more likely winner (51%), with a projected scoreline of 0–1. Draw probability is 23%. It is a contextual guide, not betting advice — see the full match page for live score, lineups, form and events.

Algeria vs Austria — Prediction FAQ

Who is predicted to win Algeria vs Austria?

Austria are predicted to win, with a 51% model win probability against Algeria, and a 23% chance of a draw. The forecast is based on FIFA World Ranking (Algeria #48, Austria #23) with a home-advantage adjustment.

What is the predicted score for Algeria vs Austria?

Our model projects a 0–1 scoreline in Austria's favour, based on expected goals derived from the ranking gap between the two sides.

What are the win probabilities for Algeria vs Austria?

Algeria 26% win, draw 23%, Austria 51% win — an Elo-style estimate from each team's FIFA World Ranking plus home advantage.

How is the Algeria vs Austria prediction calculated?

It is a transparent statistical estimate from each side's FIFA World Ranking (Algeria #48, Austria #23) with an adjustment for home advantage. It is a contextual guide for analysis, not betting advice.

When and where is Algeria vs Austria being played?

Algeria face Austria on Sunday, 28 June 2026 in the World Cup 2026 Group Stage.