Mexico vs South Africa — Head-to-Head
World Cup 2026 · Group A · rankings, form & prediction
Match Prediction
Mexico
1 – 0
South Africa69%
Mexico
19%
Draw
12%
South Africa
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
Mexico vs South Africa — FAQ
Who is favourite, Mexico or South Africa?
Our model makes Mexico favourites, with a 69% win probability and a projected 1–0 scoreline for Mexico vs South Africa.
What are Mexico and South Africa ranked by FIFA?
Mexico are #14 and South Africa are #55 in the FIFA World Ranking — a gap of 41 places.