Australia vs United States — Head-to-Head
World Cup 2026 · Group D · rankings, form & prediction
Match Prediction
Australia
1 – 1
United States33%
Australia
24%
Draw
43%
United States
Poisson scoreline model — FIFA ranking, recent form & head-to-head where available
Australia vs United States — FAQ
Who is favourite, Australia or United States?
Our model makes United States favourites, with a 43% win probability and a projected 1–1 scoreline for Australia vs United States.
What are Australia and United States ranked by FIFA?
Australia are #25 and United States are #16 in the FIFA World Ranking — a gap of 9 places.