2026-27 · FranceLive scores →

Ligue 1 Predictions

Win, draw and loss probabilities for upcoming 2026-27 Ligue 1 fixtures, calculated purely from league form — points per game, goal difference and home advantage.

Oct 9Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Lens

Lyon

12%Draw 14%74%

Oct 10Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Lille

Le Havre AC

81%Draw 14%5%

Oct 10Stade Louis II, Monaco

AS Monaco

Toulouse

81%Draw 14%5%

Oct 10Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest

Brest

Angers

33%Draw 27%40%

Oct 10Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient

Lorient

Paris FC

16%Draw 15%69%

Oct 10Parc des Princes, Paris

Paris Saint-Germain

Le Mans

58%Draw 19%23%

Oct 11Allianz Riviera, Nice

Nice

Strasbourg

32%Draw 26%42%

Oct 11Roazhon Park, Rennes

Stade Rennais

AJ Auxerre

72%Draw 14%14%

Oct 11Stade de l'Aube, Paris

Troyes

Marseille

39%Draw 28%33%

Oct 16Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans

Le Mans

Toulouse

55%Draw 21%24%

Oct 17Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg

Strasbourg

Paris Saint-Germain

37%Draw 29%34%

Oct 17Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Lille

Brest

75%Draw 14%11%

Oct 17Stade de l'Aube, Paris

Troyes

Lens

33%Draw 28%39%

Oct 18Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers

Angers

Marseille

69%Draw 15%16%

Oct 18Stade Océane, Le Havre

Le Havre AC

AJ Auxerre

31%Draw 25%44%

Oct 18Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient

Lorient

AS Monaco

11%Draw 14%75%

Oct 18Stade Jean Bouin, Paris

Paris FC

Stade Rennais

62%Draw 18%20%

Oct 18Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Lyon

Nice

80%Draw 14%6%

Oct 23Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest

Brest

Nice

49%Draw 23%28%

Oct 24Stadium Municipal de Toulouse, Toulouse

Toulouse

Troyes

60%Draw 18%22%

How these numbers are calculated

Each club is scored on its points per game plus a goal-difference-per-game signal, and the home side is given a fixed advantage. The gap between the two scores is converted into win, draw and loss probabilities. No betting odds or bookmaker data are used anywhere — these are form projections, not tips.